- XRP’s price has tested the 21-month EMA and is holding above a long-term ascending trendline from 2020.
- Cost-basis heatmaps have revealed major accumulation zones between $1.75 and $1.90 as strong support zones for long-term holders.
- Whale activity has increased notably at strategic levels, signaling active potential for upward price movement in 2026.
XRP is currently testing long-term technical levels that could shape its trajectory in early 2026. The price is interacting with the 21-month EMA and is holding above a major ascending trendline. These formations could be the determinants for movements toward previous all-time highs.
Technical Patterns Mirror Past Market Moves
XRP’s price pattern is similar to December 2017, where XRP tested the 21-month EMA before rising to all-time highs in January 2018. The post notes that if the current trendline holds over the next 20 days, a similar rebound could happen.
XRP bounced off the yellow EMA line and has stayed above the white ascending trendline since 2020. Price movement near horizontal resistance levels is tightening as seen in consolidation phases in 2017 and 2021. Traders often watch this kind of consolidation as a setup before strong upward moves.
The post indicates that if the EMA test continues to hold, a breakout could occur in the first quarter of 2026.Sharp declines have followed past parabolic gains, suggesting that there is caution during these rapid price increases.
Cost Basis Distribution Signals Support Levels
Glassnode data showing key XRP cost-basis resistance around $2.17 and strong support clusters near $1.96 and $1.78. These levels show that major holders have bought XRP, and have created areas of support and resistance.
Heavy accumulation has continued between $1.75 and $1.90 as long-term holders and whales actively support these levels and prevent sharp declines. Holding above this zone could allow XRP to stabilize and start recovering.
The data also shows that areas with concentrated holdings can slow or stop price movement, as many holders wait to reach break-even. XRP’s recent bounce matches these accumulation zones, showing that market participants are active during this consolidation.
Whale Activity Points to Strategic Positioning
XRP ledger data shows active whale participation in recent market movements. Large orders, marked by green dots, indicate significant whale activity at key price points. Usually whales tend to buy before prices rise instead of during long rallies.
Whale activity increased during rallies and that pushed XRP above $1, whale orders were smaller and more spread out, signalling quieter accumulation. Then in late 2025, large orders appeared again,an indication of renewed positioning ahead of potential price recovery.
Whale trades and retail activity together influence short-term market trends. Recent buying by large holders shows preparation for upward movement, following patterns seen in earlier rallies.
